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Featured Articles: GEMS of the Week
Category: Cycles Analysis
The news items published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Stock Market Forecast Current and for Next 30 Years / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Weekly_Wizards
WHEN WILL THE MARKET BOTTOM? Following you will find Daniel Ferrera's cycle forecast of the S&P 500 for the next 30 years, out to 2036, as well as a projection of an expected rally for the next 3 weeks. Read on for details...
FERRERA S&P 500 CYCLE FORECAST TO 2036
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Sunday, October 05, 2008
Stock Market Approaching Significant Low for a Counter-trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014.
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Sunday, August 10, 2008
An Interview With the Kress Stock Market Cycle Master / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
I have long been an admirer of the stock market cycle analysis of one Samuel J. “Bud” Kress, proprietor of SJK Capital and publisher of the cycle-based SineScope advisory. Kress has been in the equity market business all his adult life, either on Wall Street or in more recent years as an independent analyst/trader. If the Kress name seems familiar to you it's probably because you remember the chain of S.H. Kress & Co. “five and dime” stores that once dotted the country. The store's founder, Samuel H. Kress, was Bud's grandfather. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 01, 2008
An Important Stock Market Juncture Approaches / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Tim_Wood
The definition of a bull or bear market can differ from person to person depending upon their particular discipline. My definition is based on the original works of the great Dow theorists, Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea. When the Industrials moved above their 2000 high and was confirmed by the Transports a couple of months later in February 2007, I wrote then in an article that “things had changed.” I stated at that time that this was not signaling the dawn of a new bull market, but rather, we were still operating within the context of the long-term bull market that began in 1974. You can read more about this at www.cyclesman.com/Articles.htm and my latest article on this topic is titled Bull and Bear Market Relationships . Another related article is titled, The Dow Theory… Did it Fail? Both of these articles can be found at the link above. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 30, 2008
The Next American Revolution and Long-term Stock Market Cycles / Politics / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
In the aftermath of the credit crisis, real estate deflation and stock market correction, there has been a startling rise in the talk of revolution among many Internet chat rooms and message boards.
This is no idle chit-chat, mind you. It's part of a serious discussion about the alarming possibility of a militant uprising should the economic situation deteriorate further. “Typical bombast from the lunatic fringe,” is how some have responded to the sudden appearance of revolutionary furor. In view of the market cycles, however, the longer-term implications behind this kind of talk can't be so easily dismissed.
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Monday, May 19, 2008
Stock Market Cyclic Turning Points– Current Market Outlook / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Jim_Curry
Short-term Outlook For the short-term, a minor cycle up was due to take the various indexes higher into approximately May 19 th , which was plus or minus a day in either direction. Once the next minor cycle peak is complete, then a retrace lower should be seen into around May 26 th , which is also plus or minus a day in either direction (chart 1). At minimum, that drop should take the index back to or below it's 9-day moving average, however there is still the potential that a larger drop could be seen, simply again based upon the extended position of the 45-day cycle. However, for this 45-day component to actually confirm a peak in place, an intraday push below the 1384.01 figure would now be needed, the new ‘reversal point' for this cycle.
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Monday, March 24, 2008
Stock Market In the Process of Making Important Low / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Election years that fall in the 8th year of the Decennial pattern call for consolidation in the early part of the year followed by a strong finish. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could also play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate trend - an extended intermediate-term consolidation is in the process of ending and may already have ended.
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Monday, January 14, 2008
Stock Market Indicators Becoming Bullish / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Election years that fall in the 8th year of the Decennial pattern call for
consolidation in the early part of the year followed by a strong finish. But the 6-yr cycle which
is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could play a restraining role, followed by an
eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate trend - an extended intermediate-term consolidation is in process.
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Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Stock Market Cycle Investment Management and the Business Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Steve_Selengut
Whatever happened to the Stock Market Cycle; the Interest Rate Cycle; Baby Jane? How did Wall Street get away with pushing these facts of financial life down the basement stairs? Most investors, I'm beginning to believe, and all financial advisors, media representatives, and market gurus have abandoned these fascinating curves for the comfort of a straight-edged twelve-month playing field... simple, yes; realistic, not. I have to wonder if things would be different with a more investor-friendly tax-code, but that would be far less lucrative for The Wizards... Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 17, 2007
Stock Markets Consolidating Towards a Cycle Bottom by Christmas / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The 12-yr cycle is nearing its mid-point and some of its dominant components may already be restraining the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle. 2008 should see a period of correction into the late summer or Fall, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-10.
SPX: Intermediate trend - an extended intermediate-term consolidation is in process.
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Monday, November 19, 2007
Stock Market Correction Since October Appears to be Ending / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is nearing its mid-point and some of its dominant components may already be restraining the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle. 2008 should see a period of intermediate term consolidation into the late summer or Fall, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - The correction to the intermediate-term trend which has been ongoing since 10/11 appears to be in the process of ending.
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Saturday, October 20, 2007
The Fed, The Discount Interest Rate and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Tim_Wood
The Fed's action to either raise or lower rates has become a major focal point for the markets and in light of the fact that we have another Fed meeting coming up at the end of the month, I felt that addressing this subject again is warranted. Based upon the chart that I first presented here back in September that we have entered into an environment in which further rate cutes should be expected. I have updated this chart below. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 23rd September 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is approaching its mid-point and some of its dominant
components which are topping should soon restrain the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle which has
just made its low and is now in an uptrend. This could lead to another period of consolidation in
2008 with an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - With the 4.5-yr cycle making its low in August, the intermediate-term trend is now up.
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Wednesday, September 19, 2007
Stock Market Turns - Short-Term Outlook / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Jim_Curry
Current SPX Index Positions:
Mid-term (6-8 weeks) = BULLISH; 40% long @1448.96
Short-term (1 day-3 weeks) = NEUTRAL
From previous outlook: “we may be able to make some assumptions on what lies ahead for the next few days. First, we do have the outstanding upside target to 1491 SPX CASH or higher for the 10-day cycle, which does favor a higher high still out there for the short-term. Secondly, the current 10 and 20 day up phase that began off of last Monday's bottom would have the best ‘look' for a higher high above 1496.40 to materialize.
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Sunday, September 09, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 9th Setember 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point, some of its dominant components which are topping will restrain the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle which is now in an uptrend, and this could lead to another correction in 2008.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - Climactic action followed by an immediate reversal suggests that the 4.5-yr cycle has bottomed but some additional consolidation may be required before new highs are made.
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